Six predictions for AI in 2025 (and a review of how my 2024 predictions turned out):
- There will be the first major public protest related to AI - A big company will see its market cap divided by two or more because of AI - At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be pre-ordered - China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race). - There will be big breakthroughs in AI for biology and chemistry. - We will begin to see the economic and employment growth potential of AI, with 15M AI builders on Hugging Face.
How my predictions for 2024 turned out:
- A hyped AI company will go bankrupt or get acquired for a ridiculously low price ✅ (Inflexion, AdeptAI,...)
- Open-source LLMs will reach the level of the best closed-source LLMs ✅ with QwQ and dozens of others
- Big breakthroughs in AI for video, time-series, biology and chemistry ✅ for video 🔴for time-series, biology and chemistry
- We will talk much more about the cost (monetary and environmental) of AI ✅Monetary 🔴Environmental (😢)
- A popular media will be mostly AI-generated ✅ with NotebookLM by Google
- 10 millions AI builders on Hugging Face leading to no increase of unemployment 🔜currently 7M of AI builders on Hugging Face
I've been surprised by the gap between the massive number of people interested in AI (chatgpt adoption is crazy here) and the relatively low number of real AI builders - aka people and companies building their own AI models, datasets and apps.
Lots of efforts needed across the world for everyone to participate, control and benefit this foundational technology, starting with open-source & multi-lingual AI, more access to GPUs & AI builder training for all!
This is no Woodstock AI but will be fun nonetheless haha. I’ll be hosting a live workshop with team members next week about the Enterprise Hugging Face hub.
1,000 spots available first-come first serve with some surprises during the stream!
Open-source AI creates healthy competition in a field where natural tendencies lead to extreme concentration of power. Imagine a world where only one or two companies could build software. This is the biggest risk and ethical challenge of them all IMO. Let's fight this!
Very few people realize that most of the successful AI startups got successful because they were focused on open science and open-source for at least their first few years. To name but a few, OpenAI (GPT, GPT2 was open-source), Runway & Stability (stable diffusion), Cohere, Mistral and of course Hugging Face!
The reasons are not just altruistic, it's also because sharing your science and your models pushes you to build AI faster (which is key in a fast-moving domain like AI), attracts the best scientists & engineers and generates much more visibility, usage and community contributions than if you were 100% closed-source. The same applies to big tech companies as we're seeing with Meta and Google!
More startups and companies should release research & open-source AI, it's not just good for the world but also increases their probability of success!