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  ```text
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- Based on the evidence provided, I will analyze the situation and determine who is most likely responsible for the robbery.
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- First, the security footage shows no signs of entry through the main door. This suggests that the thief did not enter through the main entrance. The back door was locked, but the key was missing from the security guard's desk. This indicates that the thief may have obtained the key from the guard's desk or someone else who had access to it.
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- A museum employee, Alex, was seen near the guard's desk at 9:45 PM. This could mean that Alex was the one who took the key from the desk. Alternatively, someone else could have taken the key, but Alex's presence at the desk at that time is notable.
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- Another employee, Jordan, reported hearing a loud noise from the exhibit hall at 10:15 PM but did not investigate. This suggests that there was activity in the exhibit hall around that time, which could be related to the robbery.
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- The stolen artifact is a small, lightweight sculpture that could fit in a bag. This is consistent with the idea that the thief was able to take it without being detected.
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- The alarm system was disabled from the control room, but the exact time of deactivation is unknown. This means that the thief may have disabled the alarm system themselves or someone else did it for them.
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- Now, to determine who is most likely responsible, let's consider the possibilities:
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- 1. Alex could have taken the key from the guard's desk and then entered the exhibit hall to steal the sculpture. If Alex was the one who took the key, they could have entered the back door and stolen the artifact. However, the alarm system was disabled, so Alex may have also disabled it or someone else did.
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- 2. Jordan reported hearing a noise at 10:15 PM. If Jordan was the one who stole the sculpture, they may have entered through the back door using the key and then left before being detected. However, the key was missing from the desk, so it's unclear if Jordan took the key or someone else did.
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- 3. Another possibility is that an employee other than Alex or Jordan was involved. For example, a third employee could have taken the key and stolen the sculpture.
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- However, based on the evidence, Alex was seen near the guard's desk at 9:45 PM, which is a key time. The back door key was missing from the desk, and Alex was present at that time. This suggests that Alex may have taken the key and then entered the exhibit hall to steal the sculpture. The fact that the alarm was disabled could mean that Alex also disabled it or someone else did.
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- But who else could have disabled the alarm? The control room is another location. If someone else disabled the alarm, they could have done it at any time, but the robbery occurred between 10 PM and 11 PM. The fact that Alex was seen at 9:45 PM near the desk, and the key was missing, suggests that Alex was involved in the theft.
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- Jordan reported hearing a noise at 10:15 PM, which is during the robbery time. This suggests that Jordan may have been the one who stole the sculpture, but if Alex was already inside the exhibit hall, then Jordan's presence is also a factor.
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- However, the key was missing from the desk, which suggests that someone took it to enter the back door. If Alex took the key, then Alex could have entered the back door and stolen the sculpture. Alternatively, if Jordan took the key, then Jordan could have entered the back door and stolen the sculpture.
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- But who was seen near the desk? Alex was seen at 9:45 PM near the desk. Jordan was not mentioned as being near the desk, only Alex. So, Alex was near the desk, and the key was missing. This suggests that Alex took the key and entered the back door. Then, Alex could have stolen the sculpture and possibly disabled the alarm.
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- However, the alarm was disabled, but the exact time is unknown. If Alex disabled the alarm, they could have done it at 9:45 PM or later. The robbery occurred between 10 PM and 11 PM.
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- So, the most likely scenario is that Alex took the key from the desk at 9:45 PM, entered the back door, and then stole the sculpture. The alarm was disabled at that time or later, but the thief was able to take the sculpture without being detected.
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- Alternatively, someone else could have taken the key, but Alex was seen near the desk, so it's more likely that Alex took the key.
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- Therefore, Alex is the most likely responsible for the robbery.
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  ```text
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+ To determine the most likely responsible person for the robbery, I will analyze the evidence provided.
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+ **Critical Elements:**
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+ - The robbery occurred between 10 PM and 11 PM.
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+ - No signs of entry through the main door.
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+ - The back door was locked, but the key is missing from the security guard's desk.
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+ - Alex was seen near the guard's desk at 9:45 PM.
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+ - Jordan reported hearing a loud noise from the exhibit hall at 10:15 PM but did not investigate.
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+ - The stolen artifact is small and lightweight.
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+ - The alarm system was disabled from the control room, but the exact time of deactivation is unknown.
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+ **Grouping Evidence:**
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+ - **Means:** Access to the back door key or knowledge of an alternate entry point.
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+ - **Opportunity:** Being in the vicinity of the back door or the control room during the time of the robbery.
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+ - **Actions:** Disabling the alarm system, entering the exhibit hall, and taking the sculpture.
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+ **Most Plausible Hypothesis:**
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+ Based on the evidence, the most likely responsible person is Alex. Here's why:
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+ - Alex was seen near the guard's desk at 9:45 PM, which is around the time the robbery occurred. This suggests Alex had access to the back door key or was involved in disabling the alarm.
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+ - The back door key was missing from the security guard's desk, indicating that someone with access to it was involved. Alex's presence near the desk at 9:45 PM suggests they may have taken the key.
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+ - Jordan heard a noise at 10:15 PM, which is around the time the robbery occurred. However, Jordan did not investigate, which suggests they may not have been the one to enter or they may have been distracted.
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+ - The alarm system was disabled, which could have been done by Alex or someone else. However, since Alex was near the guard's desk, it's likely they disabled the alarm and then entered through the back door.
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+ - The sculpture was stolen, and Alex had the opportunity to take it after disabling the alarm and entering through the back door.
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+ **Evaluation of Evidence:**
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+ The evidence strongly suggests Alex was involved. Alex's presence near the guard's desk at 9:45 PM and the missing key indicate they had the means to enter the back door. The timing of their presence is also consistent with the time of the robbery. Additionally, Alex would have had the opportunity to take the sculpture and disable the alarm.
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+ **Conclusion:**
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+ Based on the evidence, Alex is the most likely responsible for the robbery.
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+ **Uncertainty or Gaps:**
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+ - The exact time the alarm was disabled is unknown, but since Alex was seen near the desk at 9:45 PM, it's likely they disabled the alarm shortly before the robbery. This is a minor uncertainty but does not affect the conclusion.
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+ - Jordan's lack of investigation could be due to being asleep or distracted, but this does not necessarily rule out Alex as the perpetrator.
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+ - There is no direct evidence linking Alex to the actual theft, but the timing and access to the key make it highly probable.
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+ Therefore, the most likely responsible person is Alex.
 
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  ```